Municipal Limeno 5-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.79/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.36
+33% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
27.10.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
25.08.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 2-1 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
24.03.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-2 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
27.01.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
20.10.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 4-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
19.08.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno swept aside Fuerte San Francisco 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Municipal Limeno as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Municipal Limeno and 0.67 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Municipal Limeno 5-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 50%, draw 26%, Fuerte San Francisco 23%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Limeno), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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