Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
16%
3.11
Away
57%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.68
Over 2.5
56%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.2pp
16%
Draw
29%
-13.3pp
57%
Away Win
44%
+13.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
56%
-12.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
44%
+12.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.6pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.89/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.42
-20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +137%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
238 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
25.08.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 2-1 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
24.03.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-2 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
27.01.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
20.10.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 4-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
19.08.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
02.05.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco and Municipal Limeno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Municipal Limeno at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.67 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno?

Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 27%, draw 16%, Municipal Limeno 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Municipal Limeno), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
27 Oct 2025
00:00 Platense vs Luis Angel Firpo Analysis →
00:00 Hércules vs Inter FA Analysis →