Municipal Limeno 1-2 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.58/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.42
+22% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
27.01.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
20.10.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 4-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
19.08.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
02.05.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
07.03.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 3-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
23.10.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco edged past Municipal Limeno 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Municipal Limeno at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Municipal Limeno and 0.33 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Municipal Limeno 1-2 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 43%, draw 26%, Fuerte San Francisco 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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