Dragon 1-4 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
25%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 53%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.88/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.17
-20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -24%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
226 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
31.10.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
25.03.2024 Dragon Dragon 1-4 HT 0-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
15.01.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
06.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 3-3 HT 3-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.09.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-3 HT 2-2 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo swept aside Dragon 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dragon and 2.00 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Dragon 1-4 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dragon 26%, draw 27%, Luis Angel Firpo 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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