Municipal Limeno 2-1 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 25%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.78/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.49
+29% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
24.03.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-2 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
27.01.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
20.10.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 4-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
19.08.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
02.05.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
07.03.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 3-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno nicked a narrow win over Fuerte San Francisco 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal Limeno as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Municipal Limeno and 0.50 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Municipal Limeno 2-1 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 52%, draw 29%, Fuerte San Francisco 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Limeno), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✓ BTTS Yes
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