Novi Pazar 2-1 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.41/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.19
-21% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.7 Crosses 16.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
260 Passes 279
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-2 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
25.05.2025 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 2-3 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
09.12.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
03.08.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
31.08.2014 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 3-2 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
15.03.2014 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-1
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.52 xG 0.81
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
128 Passes 258
57% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar nicked a narrow win over OFK Beograd 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Novi Pazar as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 40% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 60%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.52 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.00 for OFK Beograd.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?

Novi Pazar 2-1 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 41%, draw 25%, OFK Beograd 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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