Mladost Lucani 1-3 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 49%
+11% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.38/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.86
-3% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.2 Crosses 18.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Backa Topola
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.43 xG 1.95
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
207 Passes 495
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
23.04.2025 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-0 HT 1-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
08.02.2025 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 4-1 HT 1-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
01.09.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-2 HT 1-2 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
17.05.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-0 HT 1-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.03.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 4-1 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-3
AWAY Backa Topola
1.88 xG 1.51
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
243 Passes 398
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola saw off Mladost Lucani 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 42% of the ball to Backa Topola's 58%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.88 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mladost Lucani had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mladost Lucani and 1.17 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs Backa Topola?

Mladost Lucani 1-3 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 26%, draw 27%, Backa Topola 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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