Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
1.67/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.04
+22% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.1 Crosses 16.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.15 xG 0.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
305 Passes 328
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.08.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VENK
21.08.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VENK
24.07.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
07.03.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC CSA
16.02.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
17.07.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2-0
AWAY Caracas FC
0.59 xG 0.13
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 0
422 Passes 302
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 5
11 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira got the better of Caracas FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 57% of the ball to Caracas FC's 43%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 0.59 to 0.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.33 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas FC?

Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 56%, draw 23%, Caracas FC 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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