Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 28 Aug 2025

📅28/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Caracas FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.09 xG 0.95
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
352 Passes 291
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.08.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VENK
24.07.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
07.03.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC CSA
16.02.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
17.07.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
02.02.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1-0
AWAY Caracas FC
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira nicked a narrow win over Caracas FC 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 42% of the ball to Caracas FC's 58%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.67 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas FC?

Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 Caracas FC in the VENK on 28/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 44%, draw 32%, Caracas FC 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →