Dagenham & Redbridge 1-3 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.49
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
12%
13.4
X/1
9%
6.26
X/2
10%
5.13
X/X
8%
4.42
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
21%
3.3
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.57/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.53
+24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Tamworth
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
0 Passes 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 2-1 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
31.03.2007 Tamworth Tamworth 0-2 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
19.08.2006 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 4-0 HT 2-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
21.01.2006 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 HT 1-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
20.08.2005 Tamworth Tamworth 2-2 HT 0-2 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
1-3
AWAY Tamworth
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
0 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth got the better of Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Tamworth found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 53% of the ball to Tamworth's 47%, shots finished 5-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Dagenham & Redbridge and 1.00 for Tamworth.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Tamworth?

Dagenham & Redbridge 1-3 Tamworth in the England - National League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 33%, draw 27%, Tamworth 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tamworth) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tamworth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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