Aveley 0-2 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.85
No
61%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 31% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-7.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.8pp
61%
BTTS No
50%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 60%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.95/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.61/1.61
-18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +130% / -40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-1 HT 1-1 Aveley Aveley İCON
23.01.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-2 HT 1-1 Aveley Aveley İCON
14.08.2023 Aveley Aveley 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aveley
0-2
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough saw off Aveley 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eastbourne Borough as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aveley had 51% of the ball to Eastbourne Borough's 49%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aveley had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aveley and 1.00 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Eastbourne Borough?

Aveley 0-2 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aveley 26%, draw 27%, Eastbourne Borough 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastbourne Borough), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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