Chelmsford City 0-1 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.47
6+ Goals
8%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
1.38/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.17
-2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
24.08.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-0 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
29.01.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
07.10.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 0-3 HT 0-3 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
0-1
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare squeezed past Chelmsford City 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Weston-super-Mare made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 44% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 56%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.00 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Weston-super-Mare?

Chelmsford City 0-1 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 36%, draw 28%, Weston-super-Mare 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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