Weston-super-Mare 2-0 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
14.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.60/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.14
+24% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Chelmsford City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.01.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
07.10.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 0-3 HT 0-3 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2-0
AWAY Chelmsford City
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare saw off Chelmsford City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Weston-super-Mare made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 50% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 2.00 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Chelmsford City?

Weston-super-Mare 2-0 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 36%, draw 28%, Chelmsford City 36%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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