Colchester 3-0 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Mar 2025

Colchester
3-0 HT 0-0
Fleetwood Town
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Colchester vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.27
No
66%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.73
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.09
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.05
X/1
15%
4.37
X/2
14%
6.84
X/X
19%
3.51
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
16%
6.07
2/X
4%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 66% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.9pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colchester v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.43/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.46
+1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.2 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Colchester vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.48 xG 0.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
382 Passes 219
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
19.01.2016 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
22.08.2015 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Colchester Colchester İN1
25.04.2015 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-3 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN1
11.10.2014 Colchester Colchester 2-1 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1

Colchester 3-0 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
3-0
AWAY Fleetwood Town
0.83 xG 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
359 Passes 325
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 21
6 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester swept aside Fleetwood Town 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Colchester found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Colchester had 51% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 49%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.83 to 1.33 — on chances, Fleetwood Town could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Colchester had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Colchester and 1.60 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Fleetwood Town?

Colchester 3-0 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Colchester 39%, draw 28%, Fleetwood Town 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colchester), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colchester) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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