RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
RB Leipzig
AL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund
AFK
2-1
HT 2-0
RB Leipzig
AL1
3-0
HT 2-0
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
RB Leipzig got the better of Borussia Dortmund 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; RB Leipzig found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, RB Leipzig had 34% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 66%, shots finished 15-25, expected goals 1.87 to 3.06 — on chances, Borussia Dortmund could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.17 for Borussia Dortmund.
What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 39%, draw 26%, Borussia Dortmund 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.