Werder Bremen 2-4 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.98
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.0
X/1
13%
5.44
X/2
11%
6.9
X/X
12%
5.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.1
2/2
20%
4.31
2/X
5%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.67/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.84
+2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
20.9 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.60 xG 2.23
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
414 Passes 441
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 4-1 HT 3-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
04.05.2024 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-2 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
15.12.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-2 HT 1-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
17.03.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-2 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
01.10.2022 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 5-1 HT 4-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
22.05.2021 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-4 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
2-4
AWAY Mönchengladbach
2.69 xG 2.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 1
386 Passes 361
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
42 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Mönchengladbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach beat Werder Bremen 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Mönchengladbach made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Werder Bremen had 53% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 47%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 2.69 to 2.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Werder Bremen and 2.50 for Mönchengladbach.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Mönchengladbach?

Werder Bremen 2-4 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Mönchengladbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 38%, draw 25%, Mönchengladbach 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Werder Bremen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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