St George City FA 1-2 Manly United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+10.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Manly United EU Bookmakers 32%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -8%
1.67/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.11
-51% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
363 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.8 Crosses 20.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George City FA
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Manly United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.62 xG 2.06
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
372 Passes 272
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Manly United Manly United 1-2 HT 1-2 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
04.05.2024 St George City FA St George City FA 3-1 HT 1-1 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
24.06.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 1-1 HT 0-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
11.03.2023 Manly United Manly United 2-0 HT 1-0 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs Manly United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manly United edged past St George City FA 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Manly United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, St George City FA had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St George City FA and 1.25 for Manly United.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs Manly United?

St George City FA 1-2 Manly United in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs Manly United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 39%, draw 22%, Manly United 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
15 Mar 2025
06:00 South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions Analysis →
06:30 Devonport City vs Riverside Olympic Analysis →
07:00 Avondale Heights vs Preston Lions Analysis →
09:00 Mt Druitt Town vs Central Coast II Analysis →
09:30 NWS Spirit vs Sydney United Analysis →
10:00 APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St. George Saints Analysis →