Basel 3-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.01
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
14%
5.45
X/2
10%
6.75
X/X
7%
5.4
2/1
7%
22.65
2/2
18%
4.21
2/X
8%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.78/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.41
-13% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
20.9 Crosses 24.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Servette
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.29 xG 1.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
404 Passes 318
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2025 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
05.10.2025 Servette Servette 0-3 HT 0-2 Basel Basel İSV
04.05.2025 Basel Basel 5-1 HT 3-0 Servette Servette İSV
09.02.2025 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
24.11.2024 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 1-0 Servette Servette İSV
11.08.2024 Servette Servette 0-6 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
3-1
AWAY Servette
0.88 xG 1.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
372 Passes 410
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Basel vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel saw off Servette 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Basel found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Basel had 48% of the ball to Servette's 52%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 0.88 to 1.65 — on chances, Servette could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Basel and 0.83 for Servette.

What was the final score of Basel vs Servette?

Basel 3-1 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Basel 41%, draw 23%, Servette 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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