Cerro Porteno 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +3%
1.63/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.67
+8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
296 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
25.08.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-3 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
21.04.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
09.02.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
22.11.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 HT 0-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
12.09.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
2-1
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno squeezed past Sportivo Trinidense 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 62% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 38%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Trinidense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.33 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Cerro Porteno 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 57%, draw 24%, Sportivo Trinidense 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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