Cerro Porteno 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.92/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.28
+29% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
22.11.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 HT 0-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
12.09.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
07.04.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-3 HT 1-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
22.01.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
25.10.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-5 HT 2-3 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-0
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno edged past Sportivo Trinidense 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 53% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 47%, shots finished 21-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.50 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Cerro Porteno 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 48%, draw 23%, Sportivo Trinidense 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ BTTS No
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