Cerro Porteno 1-3 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.80/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.28
+21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
09.02.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
22.11.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 HT 0-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
12.09.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
07.04.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-3 HT 1-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
22.01.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-3
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense beat Cerro Porteno 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 59% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 41%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.17 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Cerro Porteno 1-3 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 49%, draw 28%, Sportivo Trinidense 23%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5
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