Lexington vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
Lexington vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Lexington 0-0 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington and Sacramento Republic fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
On the day, Lexington had 50% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 50%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.57 to 0.66.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lexington and 1.00 for Sacramento Republic.
What was the final score of Lexington vs Sacramento Republic?
Lexington 0-0 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs Sacramento Republic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lexington 37%, draw 29%, Sacramento Republic 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lexington) went the other way.