Lexington vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lexington v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
Lexington vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Lexington 0-0 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
neither Lexington nor Sacramento Republic could break the deadlock in a goalless afternoon. A game for the defenders, not the highlight reels.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (59%) landed.
On the day, Lexington had 50% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 50%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.57 to 0.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lexington and 1.00 for Sacramento Republic.
Lexington vs Sacramento Republic Result & Final Score
Lexington 0 - 0 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lexington vs Sacramento Republic Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lexington 39%, draw 30%, Sacramento Republic 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lexington) went the other way.