Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oakland Roots v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
Oakland Roots 2-1 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
Oakland Roots squeezed past New Mexico United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oakland Roots as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Oakland Roots had 36% of the ball to New Mexico United's 64%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.20 to 1.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oakland Roots and 1.50 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
Oakland Roots 2-1 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 44%, draw 23%, New Mexico United 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oakland Roots), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.