Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Oakland Roots v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Oakland Roots 2-1 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
Oakland Roots squeezed past New Mexico United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Oakland Roots as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 53%.
On the day, Oakland Roots had 36% of the ball to New Mexico United's 64%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.20 to 1.41.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oakland Roots and 1.50 for New Mexico United.
Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Result & Final Score
Oakland Roots 2 - 1 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 42%, draw 27%, New Mexico United 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oakland Roots), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.