Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Phoenix Rising v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Phoenix Rising 1-1 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising and Orange County SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
A gentle 46% lean on Phoenix Rising didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 44% of the ball to Orange County SC's 56%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.72 to 1.43.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.67 for Orange County SC.
Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC Result & Final Score
Phoenix Rising 1 - 1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 46%, draw 30%, Orange County SC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phoenix Rising) went the other way.