Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phoenix Rising v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Phoenix Rising
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Orange County SC
USLP
Phoenix Rising 1-1 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising and Orange County SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Phoenix Rising at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 44% of the ball to Orange County SC's 56%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.72 to 1.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.67 for Orange County SC.
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
Phoenix Rising 1-1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 44%, draw 29%, Orange County SC 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phoenix Rising) went the other way.