Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Colorado Springs v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-1
Colorado Springs
USLP
Colorado Springs 3-2 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
Colorado Springs edged past Las Vegas Lights 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Colorado Springs had 63% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 37%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 3.11 to 0.75 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Colorado Springs's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.00 for Las Vegas Lights.
What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights?
Colorado Springs 3-2 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights?
Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 52%, draw 25%, Las Vegas Lights 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.