Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Colorado Springs v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Colorado Springs 3-2 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
Colorado Springs edged past Las Vegas Lights 3-2. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As we said in the preview, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, possession split 63% to 37% in Colorado Springs's favour, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 3.11 to 0.75 — on chances created, Colorado Springs won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Colorado Springs against 1.00 for Las Vegas Lights.
Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights Result & Final Score
Colorado Springs 3 - 2 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Colorado Springs vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 54%, draw 26%, Las Vegas Lights 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.