Samgurali 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.09/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.14
+0% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
227 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
01.12.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 2-1 HT 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
26.09.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
28.05.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 1-3 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
11.04.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 3-1 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
03.11.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
0-1
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi nicked a narrow win over Samgurali 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Samgurali had 62% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 38%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Samgurali and 1.50 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Samgurali 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 28%, draw 26%, Torpedo Kutaisi 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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