Adelaide United 0-3 Auckland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒12:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.25
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.38
6+ Goals
12%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.1
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
9%
12.05
X/1
12%
5.19
X/2
12%
6.75
X/X
11%
4.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.69
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Auckland EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +14%
1.64/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.14
+20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +57%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.4 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Auckland
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.14 xG 1.53
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
329 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
09.05.2026 Auckland Auckland 1-1 HT 1-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
03.04.2026 Adelaide United Adelaide United 1-1 HT 1-0 Auckland Auckland AVUS
01.11.2025 Auckland Auckland 2-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
01.03.2025 Auckland Auckland 4-4 HT 2-1 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
22.01.2025 Adelaide United Adelaide United 2-2 HT 0-0 Auckland Auckland AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United
0-3
AWAY Auckland
0.94 xG 2.26
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
338 Passes 173
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adelaide United vs Auckland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland swept aside Adelaide United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Auckland made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adelaide United had 62% of the ball to Auckland's 38%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.94 to 2.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Auckland led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Adelaide United and 2.00 for Auckland.

What was the final score of Adelaide United vs Auckland?

Adelaide United 0-3 Auckland in the Australia - A-League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United vs Auckland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United 39%, draw 25%, Auckland 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Adelaide United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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