Ajman 2-2 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.56
6+ Goals
11%
6.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.3pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
1.29/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.28
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.1 Crosses 22.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Nasr
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.84 xG 1.81
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
218 Passes 487
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
27.02.2025 Ajman Ajman 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
05.10.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-1 HT 1-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
21.05.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-1 HT 1-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
02.04.2024 Ajman Ajman 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAECK
16.12.2023 Ajman Ajman 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajman and Al Nasr shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ajman and 1.83 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Al Nasr?

Ajman 2-2 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ajman 36%, draw 23%, Al Nasr 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nasr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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