Sportivo Trinidense 3-1 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +21%
1.25/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.13
+8% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
10.11.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
25.08.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-3 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
21.04.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
09.02.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
22.11.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 HT 0-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
3-1
AWAY Cerro Porteno
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense got the better of Cerro Porteno 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Trinidense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 41% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 59%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Trinidense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.00 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?

Sportivo Trinidense 3-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 29%, Cerro Porteno 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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