Çaykur Rizespor 2-2 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.54
2-3 Goals
45%
2.0
4-5 Goals
23%
2.52
6+ Goals
10%
5.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.02
1/2
9%
21.1
1/X
8%
12.25
X/1
7%
6.87
X/2
11%
5.61
X/X
10%
5.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.8
2/2
24%
2.94
2/X
5%
11.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.0pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.41/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.15
+1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.1 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.36 xG 1.48
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
276 Passes 376
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2026 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 4-1 HT 3-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
20.12.2025 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
25.05.2025 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-2 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
03.01.2025 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
03.05.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-2 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
09.01.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-4 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
2-2
AWAY Beşiktaş
2.93 xG 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 3
333 Passes 399
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor and Beşiktaş couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 47% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 53%, shots finished 22-23, expected goals 2.93 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 2.33 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Beşiktaş?

Çaykur Rizespor 2-2 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 34%, draw 23%, Beşiktaş 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beşiktaş) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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