Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
Defensor Sporting 4-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting got the better of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Defensor Sporting made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 42% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 58%, shots finished 9-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.17 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Defensor Sporting 4-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 36%, draw 26%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 37%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.