El Paso Locomotive 0-3 Orange County SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 31% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.30/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.36
+17% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
16.7 Crosses 13.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Orange County SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.90 xG 0.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
385 Passes 375
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.10.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 0-2 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
18.08.2024 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-1 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
22.10.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
10.09.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-0 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
09.04.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-0 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
09.10.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 2-1 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
0-3
AWAY Orange County SC
0.99 xG 1.56
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
497 Passes 264
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC ran out comfortable winners over El Paso Locomotive 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Orange County SC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 64% of the ball to Orange County SC's 36%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 0.99 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 0.67 for Orange County SC.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?

El Paso Locomotive 0-3 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 40%, draw 31%, Orange County SC 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (El Paso Locomotive), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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