FC Liefering 2-2 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.84/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.87
+17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 69%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.8 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.46 xG 1.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
213 Passes 186
63% Pass Accuracy 59%
28 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.03.2025 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
30.08.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-2 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
03.05.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 4-1 HT 3-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
21.10.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
26.05.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 4-2 HT 2-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
26.08.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 4-2 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering and Sturm Graz II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Liefering at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Liefering and 1.83 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II?

FC Liefering 2-2 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 48%, draw 20%, Sturm Graz II 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Liefering) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
15 Aug 2025
00:00 Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Lustenau Analysis →
19:00 WSPG Wels vs Amstetten Analysis →
19:00 St. Pölten vs First Vienna Analysis →
19:00 Bregenz vs Floridsdorfer AC Analysis →
19:00 Stripfing vs Austria Klagenfurt Analysis →