St. Pölten 2-1 First Vienna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY First Vienna EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +32%
2.23/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.10
-4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +114%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
15.9 Crosses 10.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
1W-2D-3L
AWAY First Vienna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2025 St. Pölten St. Pölten 3-3 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
30.08.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 2-1 HT 0-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
05.04.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 7-3 HT 5-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
15.09.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-2 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
07.04.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 3-1 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
05.08.2022 First Vienna First Vienna 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten
2-1
AWAY First Vienna
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs First Vienna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten edged past First Vienna 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, St. Pölten had 66% of the ball to First Vienna's 34%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, First Vienna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Pölten and 2.67 for First Vienna.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs First Vienna?

St. Pölten 2-1 First Vienna in the Austria - 1st Division on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs First Vienna?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 47%, draw 23%, First Vienna 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
15 Aug 2025
00:00 Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Lustenau Analysis →
19:00 WSPG Wels vs Amstetten Analysis →
19:00 Bregenz vs Floridsdorfer AC Analysis →
19:00 FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II Analysis →
19:00 Stripfing vs Austria Klagenfurt Analysis →