Naestved 1-0 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 31% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naestved EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 40%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
2.46/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.10
+96% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
265 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naestved
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Fremad Amager
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.87 xG 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
289 Passes 266
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.06.2025 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
21.04.2025 Naestved Naestved 1-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
21.03.2025 Naestved Naestved 1-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
11.10.2024 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
03.02.2024 Naestved Naestved 0-3 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager HAZ
05.03.2023 Naestved Naestved 2-3 HT 1-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
POST-MATCH Naestved vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved edged past Fremad Amager 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Naestved found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Naestved and 1.83 for Fremad Amager.

What was the final score of Naestved vs Fremad Amager?

Naestved 1-0 Fremad Amager in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naestved vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naestved 41%, draw 23%, Fremad Amager 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naestved), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naestved) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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