Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Spain - Primera Liga, 15 Aug 2026

Sevilla
vs
Rayo Vallecano
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Spain - Primera Liga – 2026/2027

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.93 xG 1.47
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
250 Passes 354
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.03.2026 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
28.09.2025 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 0-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
24.11.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
05.02.2024 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-2 HT 1-2 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
07.10.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 2-2 HT 0-2 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
COMMENT Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla have the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sevilla and 0.83 for Rayo Vallecano.

When do Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano play?

Sevilla play Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/08/2026, kick-off 22:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Our model's prediction for Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano is a Sevilla win at about 42% probability, priced 2.18 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Sevilla 42%, draw 28%, Rayo Vallecano 30%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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