SGV Freiberg 3-0 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.21
Over
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
45%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME SGV Freiberg The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.68
1.30 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.59
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
360 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SGV Freiberg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Homburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2026 Homburg Homburg 2-1 HT 0-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
04.10.2025 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-2 HT 1-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
25.04.2025 Homburg Homburg 1-2 HT 0-2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
26.10.2024 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-0 HT 1-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
03.04.2024 Homburg Homburg 0-3 HT 0-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-1 HT 1-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
REVIEW SGV Freiberg vs Homburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

SGV Freiberg made light work of Homburg 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (39% / 25% / 36%); SGV Freiberg picked one for it. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for SGV Freiberg against 1.00 for Homburg.

SGV Freiberg vs Homburg Result & Final Score

SGV Freiberg 3 - 0 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

SGV Freiberg vs Homburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 39%, draw 25%, Homburg 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SGV Freiberg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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