Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie A, 15 Aug 2026

Fluminense
vs
Palmeiras
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Fluminense v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Fluminense vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.00 xG 1.10
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
382 Passes 313
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.02.2026 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 2-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
23.11.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
24.07.2025 Fluminense Fluminense 1-2 HT 1-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
08.12.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-1 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
25.07.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
03.12.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
COMMENT Fluminense vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 4 of Fluminense's last 5 home league games, and Palmeiras have won 4 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fluminense and 0.83 for Palmeiras.

When do Fluminense and Palmeiras play?

Fluminense play Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 15/08/2026, kick-off 22:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Fluminense vs Palmeiras?

Our model's prediction for Fluminense vs Palmeiras is an Palmeiras win at about 36% probability, priced 2.47 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Fluminense 32%, draw 32%, Palmeiras 36%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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