Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Palmeiras v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Palmeiras 2-1 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras nicked a narrow win over Fluminense 2-1.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Palmeiras had 35% of the ball to Fluminense's 65%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.59 to 1.23.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Palmeiras and 0.83 for Fluminense.
Palmeiras vs Fluminense Result & Final Score
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 58%, draw 25%, Fluminense 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.