Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Gremio v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Gremio 2-1 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio shaded a tight game against Atletico Mineiro 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, Gremio had 63% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 37%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 0.93 to 0.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gremio and 1.67 for Atletico Mineiro.
Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro Result & Final Score
Gremio 2 - 1 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gremio 45%, draw 29%, Atletico Mineiro 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.