Çad 0-1 Zambiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 15 Oct 2024

Çad
0-1 HT 0-0
Zambiya
📅15/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.45
Over
46%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No Pick
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.12
2-3
34%
1.82
4-5
23%
6.0
6+
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
65%
-11.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
35%
+11.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.7pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çad EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Zambiya EU Bookmakers 57%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.83/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.04
+121% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
215 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çad
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Zambiya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.06 xG 0.49
35% Ball Possession 65%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
183 Passes 416
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
4 Box Touches 19
5 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
11.10.2024 Zambiya Zambiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Çad Çad AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çad
0-1
AWAY Zambiya
1.02 xG 0.82
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
175 Passes 341
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çad vs Zambiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zambiya squeezed past Çad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zambiya as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Çad had 37% of the ball to Zambiya's 63%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.02 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Çad vs Zambiya?

Çad 0-1 Zambiya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çad vs Zambiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zambiya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Çad 25%, draw 30%, Zambiya 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zambiya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zambiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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