Botsvana 1-0 Yeşil Burun Adaları — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.45
Over 2.5
45%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.1
2-3 Goals
47%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
6.09
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.6pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.6pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
65%
-10.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
35%
+10.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botsvana EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeşil Burun Adaları EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
2.16/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.26
+47% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
54.0 Crosses 22.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botsvana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Yeşil Burun Adaları
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.30 xG 1.51
23% Ball Possession 77%
5 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 18
118 Passes 564
58% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 29
2 Crosses 41
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.10.2024 Yeşil Burun Adaları Yeşil Burun Adaları 0-1 HT 0-1 Botsvana Botsvana AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botsvana
1-0
AWAY Yeşil Burun Adaları
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Botsvana vs Yeşil Burun Adaları
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botsvana squeezed past Yeşil Burun Adaları 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Yeşil Burun Adaları at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Botsvana had 33% of the ball to Yeşil Burun Adaları's 67%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Botsvana vs Yeşil Burun Adaları?

Botsvana 1-0 Yeşil Burun Adaları in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botsvana vs Yeşil Burun Adaları?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yeşil Burun Adaları win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Botsvana 33%, draw 26%, Yeşil Burun Adaları 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Yeşil Burun Adaları) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yeşil Burun Adaları) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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