Lesotho vs Gabon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lesotho v Gabon — Team-Based Signals
Lesotho vs Gabon Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-0
Lesotho
AFUK
1-1
HT 0-0
Gabon
AFUK
Lesotho 0-2 Gabon — Actual Match Statistics
Gabon got the better of Lesotho 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gabon as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Lesotho had 48% of the ball to Gabon's 52%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.36 to 1.98.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gabon led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lesotho and 1.67 for Gabon.
What was the final score of Lesotho vs Gabon?
Lesotho 0-2 Gabon in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lesotho vs Gabon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gabon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lesotho 26%, draw 28%, Gabon 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gabon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.