Gine Bissau 0-0 Mali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
40%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.29
No
68%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
42%
2.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
5.77
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.17 — our 42% vs market 39.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
40%
Away Win
51%
-10.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.9pp
32%
BTTS Yes
40%
-7.7pp
68%
BTTS No
60%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gine Bissau EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Mali EU Bookmakers 55%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.08/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.02
-91% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
237 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 83%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
27.0 Crosses 19.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gine Bissau
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Mali
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.05 xG 1.22
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
214 Passes 273
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
6 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 0
11.10.2024 Mali Mali 1-0 HT 0-0 Gine Bissau Gine Bissau AFUK
06.01.2024 Mali Mali 6-2 HT 3-2 Gine Bissau Gine Bissau HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gine Bissau
0-0
AWAY Mali
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Gine Bissau vs Mali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gine Bissau and Mali fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

On the day, Gine Bissau had 50% of the ball to Mali's 50%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mali led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gine Bissau and 3.50 for Mali.

What was the final score of Gine Bissau vs Mali?

Gine Bissau 0-0 Mali in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gine Bissau vs Mali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mali win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gine Bissau 29%, draw 31%, Mali 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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