Kongo 1-1 Güney Afrika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 15 Oct 2024

Kongo
1-1
Güney Afrika
📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Afrika Uluslar Cup – 2025

Kongo vs Güney Afrika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.64
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.43
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
19%
+12.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
56%
-11.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kongo v Güney Afrika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongo EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Afrika EU Bookmakers 59%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.65/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.23
-71% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +122% / -70%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
257 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 84%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.0
17.4 Crosses 19.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kongo vs Güney Afrika Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongo
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Güney Afrika
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.62 xG 1.79
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
222 Passes 470
81% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.10.2024 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 5-0 HT 3-0 Kongo Kongo AFUK
15.10.2014 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 0-0 HT 0-0 Kongo Kongo AFUK
11.10.2014 Kongo Kongo 0-2 HT 0-0 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK

Kongo 1-1 Güney Afrika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kongo
1-1
AWAY Güney Afrika
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Kongo vs Güney Afrika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongo and Güney Afrika couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Güney Afrika at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Kongo had 44% of the ball to Güney Afrika's 56%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Güney Afrika led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kongo and 2.33 for Güney Afrika.

What was the final score of Kongo vs Güney Afrika?

Kongo 1-1 Güney Afrika in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongo vs Güney Afrika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Güney Afrika win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kongo 32%, draw 24%, Güney Afrika 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Güney Afrika), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Güney Afrika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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