Sierra Leone 1-0 Fildişi Sahili — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 15 Oct 2024

Sierra Leone
1-0
Fildişi Sahili
📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Afrika Uluslar Cup – 2025

Sierra Leone vs Fildişi Sahili Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
53%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.92
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+9.3pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.2pp
53%
Away Win
71%
-18.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sierra Leone v Fildişi Sahili — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sierra Leone EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Fildişi Sahili EU Bookmakers 75%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
0.65/2.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.77
+149% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -38%
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
176 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 85%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.0
12.0 Crosses 31.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Sierra Leone vs Fildişi Sahili Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sierra Leone
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Fildişi Sahili
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
1.09 xG 3.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
258 Passes 438
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 46
8 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
11.10.2024 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili 4-1 HT 1-1 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone AFUK
16.01.2022 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili 2-2 HT 1-0 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone AFUK
06.09.2015 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone 0-0 HT 0-0 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili AFR
14.11.2014 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone 1-5 HT 1-1 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili AFUK
06.09.2014 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili 2-1 HT 0-1 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone AFUK

Sierra Leone 1-0 Fildişi Sahili — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sierra Leone
1-0
AWAY Fildişi Sahili
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Sierra Leone vs Fildişi Sahili
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sierra Leone nicked a narrow win over Fildişi Sahili 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fildişi Sahili at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Sierra Leone had 41% of the ball to Fildişi Sahili's 59%, shots finished 5-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fildişi Sahili led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sierra Leone and 2.60 for Fildişi Sahili.

What was the final score of Sierra Leone vs Fildişi Sahili?

Sierra Leone 1-0 Fildişi Sahili in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sierra Leone vs Fildişi Sahili?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fildişi Sahili win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sierra Leone 20%, draw 27%, Fildişi Sahili 53%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fildişi Sahili) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fildişi Sahili) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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