Sudan 2-0 Gana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 15 Oct 2024

Sudan
2-0 HT 0-0
Gana
📅15/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.34
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
42%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.6
No
67%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.16
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
16%
+10.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
42%
Away Win
56%
-14.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
34%
-0.9pp
67%
BTTS No
66%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sudan EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Gana EU Bookmakers 60%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.89/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/0.51
+42% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
205 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 83%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.8
8.5 Crosses 8.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sudan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.03 xG 2.85
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
220 Passes 302
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 34
3 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2024 Gana Gana 0-0 HT 0-0 Sudan Sudan AFUK
19.01.2023 Gana Gana 3-1 HT 1-1 Sudan Sudan AUŞ
17.11.2020 Sudan Sudan 1-0 HT 0-0 Gana Gana AFUK
12.11.2020 Gana Gana 2-0 HT 1-0 Sudan Sudan AFUK
07.06.2013 Sudan Sudan 1-3 HT 1-1 Gana Gana DKE
24.03.2013 Gana Gana 4-0 HT 2-0 Sudan Sudan DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sudan
2-0
AWAY Gana
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sudan vs Gana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sudan got the better of Gana 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gana at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sudan had 44% of the ball to Gana's 56%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gana led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sudan and 2.00 for Gana.

What was the final score of Sudan vs Gana?

Sudan 2-0 Gana in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sudan vs Gana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sudan 27%, draw 31%, Gana 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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