İspanya 3-0 Sırbistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
2.15
Over
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No Pick
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
30%
4.21
2-3
39%
1.86
4-5
20%
3.02
6+
11%
9.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.21 — our 30% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
20.6
X/1
20%
3.47
X/2
7%
17.5
X/X
10%
6.89
2/1
5%
23.15
2/2
11%
14.1
2/X
7%
21.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
69%
-15.5pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.3pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sırbistan EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.50/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/0.90
-30% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -1%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
559 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
16.8 Crosses 17.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sırbistan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.38 xG 1.24
74% Ball Possession 26%
21 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
556 Passes 165
91% Pass Accuracy 73%
43 Box Touches 9
45 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
05.09.2024 Sırbistan Sırbistan 0-0 HT 0-0 İspanya İspanya AVUL
26.05.2012 İspanya İspanya 2-0 HT 0-0 Sırbistan Sırbistan HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya
3-0
AWAY Sırbistan
2.92 xG 0.37
67% Ball Possession 33%
30 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
565 Passes 243
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
45 Box Touches 5
22 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH İspanya vs Sırbistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya swept aside Sırbistan 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İspanya as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, İspanya had 67% of the ball to Sırbistan's 33%, shots finished 30-3, expected goals 2.92 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İspanya had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İspanya and 0.00 for Sırbistan.

What was the final score of İspanya vs Sırbistan?

İspanya 3-0 Sırbistan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya vs Sırbistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split İspanya 53%, draw 23%, Sırbistan 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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