Kosova 3-0 Güney Kıbrıs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.07
Over
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.92
2-3
39%
1.84
4-5
24%
3.15
6+
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.92 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.65
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
20.3
X/1
26%
3.44
X/2
9%
15.8
X/X
7%
6.59
2/1
11%
23.15
2/2
4%
12.95
2/X
7%
21.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Kosova win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.5pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.5pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kosova EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kıbrıs EU Bookmakers 16%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.91/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.30
+74% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -41%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
20.1 Crosses 9.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kosova
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Güney Kıbrıs
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.26 xG 0.45
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
481 Passes 315
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.09.2024 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs 0-4 HT 0-2 Kosova Kosova AVUL
27.09.2022 Kosova Kosova 5-1 HT 2-0 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs AVUL
02.06.2022 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs 0-2 HT 0-0 Kosova Kosova AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kosova
3-0
AWAY Güney Kıbrıs
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
488 Passes 228
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH Kosova vs Güney Kıbrıs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosova cruised past Güney Kıbrıs 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kosova as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kosova had 63% of the ball to Güney Kıbrıs's 37%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kosova had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Kosova and 0.33 for Güney Kıbrıs.

What was the final score of Kosova vs Güney Kıbrıs?

Kosova 3-0 Güney Kıbrıs in the UEFA Uluslar League on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kosova vs Güney Kıbrıs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kosova win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Kosova 64%, draw 20%, Güney Kıbrıs 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kosova), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kosova) ✓ BTTS No
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