Litvanya 1-2 Romanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.74
Over
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.86
2-3
44%
1.77
4-5
17%
4.08
6+
7%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.86 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.4
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
7%
17.05
X/1
11%
9.9
X/2
17%
3.7
X/X
9%
4.71
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.16
2/X
10%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-8.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Litvanya EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Romanya EU Bookmakers 60%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.69/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-28% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
251 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 74%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Litvanya
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Romanya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.70 xG 1.87
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
307 Passes 383
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2024 Romanya Romanya 3-1 HT 1-1 Litvanya Litvanya AVUL
17.11.2018 Romanya Romanya 3-0 HT 1-0 Litvanya Litvanya AVUL
11.10.2018 Litvanya Litvanya 1-2 HT 0-1 Romanya Romanya AVUL
23.03.2016 Romanya Romanya 1-0 HT 0-0 Litvanya Litvanya HAZ
06.06.2009 Litvanya Litvanya 0-1 HT 0-1 Romanya Romanya DKE
06.09.2008 Romanya Romanya 0-3 HT 0-1 Litvanya Litvanya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Litvanya
1-2
AWAY Romanya
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 9
287 Passes 274
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
POST-MATCH Litvanya vs Romanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya nicked a narrow win over Litvanya 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Romanya as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Litvanya had 50% of the ball to Romanya's 50%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Romanya led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Litvanya and 1.67 for Romanya.

What was the final score of Litvanya vs Romanya?

Litvanya 1-2 Romanya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Litvanya vs Romanya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Romanya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Litvanya 27%, draw 26%, Romanya 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Romanya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Romanya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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